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Rain to Snow this Weekend; Cooler Weather Lingers

Published: 3.8.18 9:04am

Good Morning Folks! It has been some time since we last posted a discussion and to those who have reached out wondering what in the heck is going on, thank you for being such loyal followers and trust in that we have not given up on you or the area, but that we are entering another phase after ten years of covering the weather in SW NC. We are currently undergoing a website restructure and design change to better fit our new model, which will be one that provides weather updates daily, however discussions and major updates are likely to occur every other day. This change will take some time, but we hope to have everything up and running by mid – late Spring, so only a month or two away till we pick back up where we left off. 

Now to the weather, flurries and light snow showers are currently peppering the TN line area and will continue to do so throughout the day, peaking late this morning and winding down this afternoon. An inch or two is likely across the spine of the Smokies, while nearby ridgelines could pick up another inch and for those watching the webcams at Cataloochee, they should be able to pencil in a dusting up to an inch by the time the day is out. For the rest of us not living along ridgelines or high elevations site close to the TN line, we’ll have to deal with wind whipped flurries and passing clouds, below normal temps only making it to the low 40’s and NW winds around 10 – 20mph. All in all, it will be a blustery winter like day across the area and the pattern continues into the overnight hours, with NW winds around 10 – 20mph for the lower elevations, gusting to 45mph above 4500’. Temps tonight dip into the mid teens – low 20’s across the region, so be sure to bring in an extra load of wood or turn up the heat a few degrees because we haven’t seen these temps in some time. 

The sky clears tomorrow with sunshine dominating the forecast and with a SW flow across the area, temps will be able to push into the upper 30’s – low 50’s depending upon elevation. Winds will calm down to a light breeze and clouds will make a return overnight into Saturday, with low temps dipping into the upper 20’s – mid 30’s. 

Some light precip is possible by sunrise, however the main event will take place from Saturday evening through Sunday night, with up to an inch or two of rain possible for the lower elevations. If precip does move in Saturday morning it will likely fall as snow but temps will push into the mid 40’s – mid 50’s depending upon elevation, causing all precip to kick over to rain. As the afternoon moves along shower coverage will increase out of the west and become widespread overnight into Sunday, with temps dipping into the low 30’s – low 40’s. The highest ridgelines and peaks above 5000’ are likely to transition back to snow and hold this precip type through Sunday, possibly setting up a decent winter storm for the highest elevations. For the majority of us living across the lower elevations, we will deal with a cold rain as temps rise to the upper 30’s along the ridgelines and upper 40’s across the valleys. Now take this setup and timeline with a grain of salt as the low pressure system could track more NW or SE of the area, causing snow levels to rise or drop. We say this because model confidence is low at this time but check back in Saturday morning for another update as we will be in the short term model range at that time. 

Precip clear up Monday and sets up a sunny yet somewhat chilly Tuesday and Wednesday, with temps Monday rising to the upper 30’s – low 50’s, warming up a degree or two with each passing day. 

Overall, blustery today with light snow along the ridgelines, sunny yet chilly tomorrow and then light precip becoming widespread and heavy at times Saturday night through Sunday, clearing up Monday, allowing for a sunny and cool middle of next week. ENJOY! 


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