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Wet and Cool through Christmas Eve
Published: 12.22.14 6:56am
Good Morning Folks! Temps are a tad chilly this morning as they currently sit in the mid 30’s – mid 40’s depending upon elevation, with mostly cloudy skies overhead and the occasional light shower across the region. This will be the pattern for most of the day which will translate into a gloomy start to the holiday week, with temps only reaching the low 40’s – low 50’s depending upon elevation. Most locations will experience a light shower today; however rainfall totals will be rather light, not exceeding a quarter inch for all of SW NC as the heavy rain remains off to the south and west. Overnight into Tuesday clouds will continue across the region alongside light showers developing in SW flow, with temps settling into the low – mid 40’s depending upon elevation.
Shower chances ramp up for tomorrow, but more so late in the day as we await the arrival of a front which should reach our region sometime Wednesday before midday. Meanwhile moisture will stream into the region on Tuesday ahead of the front and by the mid – late afternoon hours we will find copious amounts of moisture slide into the SW facing slopes of the region, developing scattered light – moderate showers across the area. Temps will rise to the mid 40’s – low 50’s and most locations will pick up a quarter – half inch of rain before the day is done with showers continuing through the overnight hours into Wednesday morning; another half inch of rain is likely overnight. Temps overnight will remain above freezing as they settle into the low – upper 40’s depending upon elevation, ensuring all precip remains liquid.
Precip coverage wanes somewhat Wednesday morning however picks right back up as the front swings through the region shortly before midday, bringing with it scattered showers and possibly a few thunderstorms. After a healthy soaking from the front we will find cooler air invade the region, but not before temps rise to the upper 40’s – mid 50’s depending upon elevation, making for a rather wet but comfortable Christmas Eve. As we move through the mid – late afternoon hours we will find colder air infiltrating the region and the overall flow will gradually transition to a west – northwest flow across the area. This will provide us with a brief window for light snow Christmas Eve night into Christmas morning, mainly for the TN line and nearby towns such as Maggie Valley. No accumulations are expected at this time, however this could change but do not hope for anything more than a solid dusting as the overall flow is not ideal for decent snowfall. Temps overnight will dip into the low 20’s – low 30’s depending upon elevation and winds will pick up to become steady out of the WNW around 10 – 25mph. Some areas across SW NC will experience flurries into Thursday morning, helping with the holiday atmosphere; however the best chance for light accumulations will be directly along the TN line.
Christmas Day (Thursday) features some wind whipped flurries early in the day with mostly sunny skies making up the rest of the day. With strong WNW winds ushering colder air into the region, temps will struggle to rise past the upper 30’s – upper 40’s depending upon elevation with an overnight low in the low – upper 20’s for most of the region; mostly clear skies overhead.
Friday through next weekend looks somewhat miserable with increasing clouds Friday, scattered showers Saturday turning to snow Saturday night and possibly warming back up to a cold rain Sunday. We will mention that temps will briefly warm up into the low 40’s – mid 50’s Friday only to cool back down to the low – upper 40’s Saturday. We will not go into too much detail as this forecast is likely to change, however do note that more rain is coming next weekend and it may get cold enough for some to fall as snow for the higher elevations overnight into Sunday.
Overall, isolated showers today, scattered showers late tomorrow continuing into Wednesday with a brief window for snow overnight into Christmas Day, followed by a breezy Christmas Day under mostly sunny skies with clouds increasing Friday followed by more showers next Saturday. ENJOY!