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Hottest Day of the Year Might be Today

Published: 7.24.16 8:01am

Good Morning Folks! Several showers moved through the region yesterday afternoon, dropping on average a tenth of an inch, however one spot did pick up an inch and that was the Alarka Fire Dept in Swain County at 1.14” (nearby Cowee FD picked up 0.95”). Another notable highlight from yesterday was a report from one of our more engaged readers, The Thundering Herd who is a direct neighbor to Cataloochee Ski Area, who passed along a temperature reading of 81°F yesterday afternoon. Most folks would find that information trivial considering the low 90’s across the valleys, however this is notable because it was the first time since 2013 they have peaked into the low 80’s. We expect today to be even hotter than yesterday, so buckle down for another hot and sticky afternoon. Monday shaves off a few degrees and keeps most of us in the upper 80’s, while Tuesday through the end of next week brings us back down to normal levels (mid 80’s). Shower chances increase starting tomorrow, ramping up on Tuesday and sort of flat lining the rest of the week, although leveling out to scattered chances each afternoon into next weekend. All in all, the week ahead will be much cooler and this will come at the expense of increasing muggy conditions and shower chances with each passing day. 

Today will feature some high clouds streaming overhead from the ENE and valley fog stubborn to lift through the morning hours. We will eventually clear cloud and fog cover out and allow for mostly sunny – partly cloudy skies this afternoon, which will send temps into the upper 70’s – low 90’s once again, making for an uncomfortable end to the weekend. Isolated shower chances continue today with perhaps a slight edge toward thunderstorms and the only concern will be slow moving heavy downpours, but we should only deal with a few of those across our portion of the state. Favored areas include the Great Balsams, Cowee Mtns and the Smokies on the NC side. Overnight lows will settle back into the low – upper 60’s and partly cloudy skies will take over as shower activity winds down with sunset. 

Monday into Wednesday brings us scattered shower chances each afternoon, although Monday may keep to isolated shower chances, as we are still not sure about the extent of coverage tomorrow. Regardless, moisture will increase across the region and in tandem a few upper level disturbances will push into or near the region, one in particular being a cold front that will stall just north of the area on Tuesday. This combined with other parameters such as increasing instability will prompt isolated thunderstorms on Monday, scattered showers Tuesday and pop up showers Wednesday. The only difference between scattered showers and pop up showers is that region wide shower activity is likely Tuesday, whereas a few certain areas will see more rain than others on Wednesday. Regardless rainfall amounts should reach an inch for the entire region through Wednesday evening, which is welcomed as we still sit in a severe drought. Temps Monday will climb to the mid 70’s – upper 80’s and cool down to the low 70’s-  mid 80’s Tuesday, setting the stage for the rest of the week through at least Friday. Overnight lows will dip into the low – mid 60’s and it’s possible a few light showers continue into the evening hours each day. 

Thursday into next weekend develops a short lived lull in the shower activity Thursday, possibly into Friday, but picks it back up for next weekend. This is good to see in that higher end shower chances will continue longer than a day or two, possibly chipping away into the drought and perhaps knocking us down from severe to moderate status by early August. Temps will continue to rise to the low 70’s – mid 80’s and although we are not entirely sure shower activity remains high through next weekend, the overall setup seems supportive for not just our area, but the Carolinas in general. 

Overall, HOT today, muggy and hot tomorrow, scattered showers Tuesday and pop up showers Wednesday into next weekend. ENJOY! 


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